After putting tips out for the first time last week, I actually didn’t get to watch a single game due to being on holiday for the (at least in Queensland) long weekend without phone, internet or TV reception! After a nervous wait, I came back to see my model had a tough weekend – tipping 5 out of 9 with a mean absolute error in the margin of a hefty 50 points. Granted there were a few unexpected results but not what I had envisaged stuck in my log cabin all weekend!
Nonetheless, my season results for the ELO model (understanding I haven’t made these public yet) sit at 39 out 54 (72%) with a mean absolute error in the margin of 33 points. I’m again hoping to turn this into a nice table or chart as the season progresses.
Here are our current ELO ratings
- I endeavour to write up my methodology over the weekend! ↩