Round 5 - AFL Men’s ratings updates and preview

After a pretty brutal Round 4, we saw some big movements in our ratings. That leads to some interesting matchups this week. Read on to see who our model is tipping! Also a quick reminder that you always find full ratings and current tips updated each Monday. Ratings and Simulations The big loser here was clearly Adelaide, after a shock, heavy loss to Collingwood. They dropped from pretty clear top rated team down to 4th. [Read More]

Round 4 AFL Men's ratings

With round 3 done and dusted, are the top teams beginning to emerge? You can see the full ratings, results and tips here but see our current ratings and simulations below. Not a whole lot of movement at the top, with Adelaide, Sydney, GWS, Richmond and Port remaining in the top tier of teams. These teams are all projected around 16 wins and ~80% chance of finals at this early stage, with Adelaide poking it’s nose out in front. [Read More]

Kangawhos? AFL Men’s Round 2 Preview

The annual super long weekend of football that I always miss because I’m camping is upon us! After a few creaks and a bit of encouragement, I’ve managed to get the ELO model up and running for the new season, including my first set of simulations! A quick reminder that you can always find my Tips and Current Ratings and Simulations on these pages. I’ll aim to update these every Monday following a round if you need to see them before I blog! [Read More]

Current Tips

Welcome to our all new AFL Men’s tips page! Here you will the tips for the upcoming rounds. I’ll usually aim to update these early in the week to give you time to digest Any questions, let me know on Twitter! Day Venue Home.Team Away.Team Prediction Probability Result Fri, 20 S.C.G. Sydney Adelaide 14 60. [Read More]

Ratings and Simulations

Welcome to our all new AFL Men’s ratings and tips page! Here you will the latest ratings, tips for the upcoming rounds and any simulations that have been done. I’ll usually aim to update these early in the week to give you time to digest Any questions, let me know on Twitter! Last updated: 2018-04-16. # Load libraries library(pacman) pacman::p_load(fitzRoy, tidyverse, formattable, ggthemes, elo, here, lubridate, widgetframe, ggridges, DT) # Load data that has been run using 'weekly_data_process. [Read More]