Round 11 AFLM Predictions

Hi team,

See the tips for round 11 of the AFL Men’s comp below, as well as some simulation results.

You can always receive my live, up to date tips here and my simulations here regardless of the timing or existance of this weekly post!

And reach out on Twitter if you have any thoughts or questions.

Enjoy and happy tipping :)


Day Venue Home.Team Away.Team Prediction Probability Result
Fri, 31 Docklands North Melbourne Richmond -7.4 42.7% Richmond by 7
Sat, 01 M.C.G. Collingwood Fremantle 20.7 69.6% Collingwood by 21
Sat, 01 Blacktown GWS Gold Coast 33.6 79.3% GWS by 34
Sat, 01 Kardinia Park Geelong Sydney 27.5 75.0% Geelong by 28
Sat, 01 Marrara Oval Melbourne Adelaide -5.6 44.4% Adelaide by 6
Sat, 01 Gabba Brisbane Lions Hawthorn -5.3 44.7% Hawthorn by 5
Sun, 02 Jiangwan Stadium St Kilda Port Adelaide -8.9 41.2% Port Adelaide by 9
Sun, 02 M.C.G. Essendon Carlton 19.8 68.8% Essendon by 20
Sun, 02 Perth Stadium West Coast Footscray 17.9 67.2% West Coast by 18



And below we show the probability of each team finishing at each ladder position in a heatmap.

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