See the tips for round 11 of the AFL Men’s comp below, as well as some simulation results.
And reach out on Twitter if you have any thoughts or questions.
Enjoy and happy tipping :)
|Fri, 31||Docklands||North Melbourne||Richmond||-7.4||42.7%||Richmond by 7|
|Sat, 01||M.C.G.||Collingwood||Fremantle||20.7||69.6%||Collingwood by 21|
|Sat, 01||Blacktown||GWS||Gold Coast||33.6||79.3%||GWS by 34|
|Sat, 01||Kardinia Park||Geelong||Sydney||27.5||75.0%||Geelong by 28|
|Sat, 01||Marrara Oval||Melbourne||Adelaide||-5.6||44.4%||Adelaide by 6|
|Sat, 01||Gabba||Brisbane Lions||Hawthorn||-5.3||44.7%||Hawthorn by 5|
|Sun, 02||Jiangwan Stadium||St Kilda||Port Adelaide||-8.9||41.2%||Port Adelaide by 9|
|Sun, 02||M.C.G.||Essendon||Carlton||19.8||68.8%||Essendon by 20|
|Sun, 02||Perth Stadium||West Coast||Footscray||17.9||67.2%||West Coast by 18|
And below we show the probability of each team finishing at each ladder position in a heatmap.