See the tips for round 16 of the AFL Men’s comp below, as well as some simulation results.
And reach out on Twitter if you have any thoughts or questions.
Enjoy and happy tipping :)
|Fri, 05||M.C.G.||Hawthorn||Collingwood||-5.0||45.0%||Collingwood by 5|
|Sat, 06||M.C.G.||Essendon||Sydney||10.1||60.0%||Essendon by 10|
|Sat, 06||Carrara||Gold Coast||Richmond||-11.8||38.4%||Richmond by 12|
|Sat, 06||Adelaide Oval||Adelaide||Port Adelaide||3.9||53.9%||Adelaide by 4|
|Sat, 06||Perth Stadium||Fremantle||West Coast||-4.0||46.0%||West Coast by 4|
|Sat, 06||Docklands||Footscray||Geelong||-20.1||30.9%||Geelong by 20|
|Sun, 07||M.C.G.||Carlton||Melbourne||-7.0||43.0%||Melbourne by 7|
|Sun, 07||Bellerive Oval||North Melbourne||St Kilda||12.7||62.4%||North Melbourne by 13|
|Sun, 07||Blacktown||GWS||Brisbane Lions||16.9||66.3%||GWS by 17|
And below we show the probability of each team finishing at each ladder position in a heatmap.