See the tips for round 18 of the AFL Men’s comp below, as well as some simulation results.
And reach out on Twitter if you have any thoughts or questions.
Enjoy and happy tipping :)
|Fri, 19||Adelaide Oval||Adelaide||Essendon||11.7||61.5%||Adelaide by 12|
|Sat, 20||M.C.G.||Richmond||Port Adelaide||7.7||57.6%||Richmond by 8|
|Sat, 20||Docklands||Carlton||Gold Coast||15.4||64.9%||Carlton by 15|
|Sat, 20||Blacktown||GWS||Collingwood||7.3||57.2%||GWS by 7|
|Sat, 20||Perth Stadium||Fremantle||Sydney||5.0||55.0%||Fremantle by 5|
|Sat, 20||Gabba||Brisbane Lions||North Melbourne||4.2||54.2%||Brisbane Lions by 4|
|Sun, 21||M.C.G.||Geelong||Hawthorn||17.6||66.9%||Geelong by 18|
|Sun, 21||Traeger Park||Melbourne||West Coast||-9.1||41.0%||West Coast by 9|
|Sun, 21||Docklands||St Kilda||Footscray||-4.9||45.1%||Footscray by 5|
And below we show the probability of each team finishing at each ladder position in a heatmap.