See the tips for round 21 of the AFL Men’s comp below, as well as some simulation results.
And reach out on Twitter if you have any thoughts or questions.
Enjoy and happy tipping :)
|Fri, 09||Manuka Oval||GWS||Hawthorn||11.2||61.0%||GWS by 11|
|Sat, 10||Adelaide Oval||Port Adelaide||Sydney||14.8||64.4%||Port Adelaide by 15|
|Sat, 10||M.C.G.||Melbourne||Collingwood||-11.3||38.9%||Collingwood by 11|
|Sat, 10||Gabba||Brisbane Lions||Gold Coast||30.3||77.1%||Brisbane Lions by 30|
|Sat, 10||Docklands||Essendon||Footscray||8.4||58.3%||Essendon by 8|
|Sat, 10||Kardinia Park||Geelong||North Melbourne||20.5||69.4%||Geelong by 20|
|Sun, 11||Docklands||St Kilda||Fremantle||1.3||51.3%||St Kilda by 1|
|Sun, 11||Perth Stadium||West Coast||Adelaide||12.8||62.5%||West Coast by 13|
|Sun, 11||M.C.G.||Richmond||Carlton||22.6||71.2%||Richmond by 23|
And below we show the probability of each team finishing at each ladder position in a heatmap.