Round 21 AFLM Predictions

Hi team,

See the tips for round 21 of the AFL Men’s comp below, as well as some simulation results.

You can always receive my live, up to date tips here and my simulations here regardless of the timing or existance of this weekly post!

And reach out on Twitter if you have any thoughts or questions.

Enjoy and happy tipping :)


Day Venue Home.Team Away.Team Prediction Probability Result
Fri, 09 Manuka Oval GWS Hawthorn 11.2 61.0% GWS by 11
Sat, 10 Adelaide Oval Port Adelaide Sydney 14.8 64.4% Port Adelaide by 15
Sat, 10 M.C.G. Melbourne Collingwood -11.3 38.9% Collingwood by 11
Sat, 10 Gabba Brisbane Lions Gold Coast 30.3 77.1% Brisbane Lions by 30
Sat, 10 Docklands Essendon Footscray 8.4 58.3% Essendon by 8
Sat, 10 Kardinia Park Geelong North Melbourne 20.5 69.4% Geelong by 20
Sun, 11 Docklands St Kilda Fremantle 1.3 51.3% St Kilda by 1
Sun, 11 Perth Stadium West Coast Adelaide 12.8 62.5% West Coast by 13
Sun, 11 M.C.G. Richmond Carlton 22.6 71.2% Richmond by 23



And below we show the probability of each team finishing at each ladder position in a heatmap.

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