See the tips for round 22 of the AFL Men’s comp below, as well as some simulation results.
And reach out on Twitter if you have any thoughts or questions.
Enjoy and happy tipping :)
|Fri, 16||M.C.G.||Melbourne||Sydney||3.2||53.2%||Melbourne by 3|
|Sat, 17||M.C.G.||Carlton||St Kilda||0.6||50.6%||Carlton by 1|
|Sat, 17||Gabba||Brisbane Lions||Geelong||-10.8||39.4%||Geelong by 11|
|Sat, 17||Adelaide Oval||Adelaide||Collingwood||3.9||53.9%||Adelaide by 4|
|Sat, 17||Perth Stadium||Fremantle||Essendon||5.4||55.4%||Fremantle by 5|
|Sat, 17||Docklands||North Melbourne||Port Adelaide||-0.6||49.4%||Port Adelaide by 1|
|Sun, 18||M.C.G.||Richmond||West Coast||6.4||56.4%||Richmond by 6|
|Sun, 18||Blacktown||GWS||Footscray||17.3||66.6%||GWS by 17|
|Sun, 18||Docklands||Hawthorn||Gold Coast||33.7||79.4%||Hawthorn by 34|
And below we show the probability of each team finishing at each ladder position in a heatmap.